
 |

Don't let greed stand
in between you and your money. If it's "too
good to be true, someone is conning you."
John C. Frycek, PPS,
CIS, LPD |



"BEWARE OF THE BIG
BAD WOLVES!"
By John C.
Frycek, PPS, CIS, LPD
Most people want to believe in
the "Good Faith" system in life. People often want
to take advantage of personal and financial
opportunities based upon another's physical
character, prestige, intellect and passed around
rumored embellishments. As hedonists, we seek the
finer things in life that will promote more
happiness for our families and our own personal
fulfillment. The motivations and afterthoughts
in regards to financial gain tend to make us, well,
"greedy at times." This physiological act was
instilled in us by nature and it was intended to
help us prosper in life and aid in society to build,
establish and conform. Greed is all not that bad, it
is how we abide by it in life is where we go wrong.
Hurting others, committing crimes and taking
advantage of our "good faith system" is what we must
protect ourselves from. As grandma always said, "One
must always stay away from the big-bad-wolf."
We must have a mental "kill
switch" established in our mindset when a person or
group tries to inform us of an easy, low risk and
highly profitable financial opportunity. Taking the
right steps to validate their cause is the right
thing to do. I have witnessed on many occasions
person investing millions of dollars based upon a
nice leather chair they sat in, a kind attractive
smile and rehearsed gesture indicating that they
WILL BECOME VERY WEALTHILY if they follow the easy
paint-by-numbers plan! The mesmerizing and surreal
plan takes a hypnotic effect us on and leaves us to
believe in the phrase, "what if?" The truth is, most
people do not want a Private Investigator or other
kill-joy to spoil and interrupt the feelings of
amplified greed. Some investors think about, "what
if" and "wouldn't it be nice...."
Be smart, be wise. Money is
hard to come by these days, and losing it is not
good. It may take 10 to 12 years for the economy to
bounce back. Investigate before you invest!
Oh, and watch out for the "big bad wolf in the $700
suit."
John C.
Frycek, PPS, CIS, LPD

I'm sure you've seen them dozens of times.
Messages which purport to tell you how, for a
relatively small investment, you can make huge
amounts of money. There are countless variations,
but they all are based on the same fraudulent
concept. With a typical “chain-letter”-based
pyramid scheme, the process is represented to go
something like this:
- You receive a copy of a letter or an
email message, making fabulous claims about how
much money you can “earn” by participating in
it.
- You send some amount of money to some
number of people who have joined this scheme
ahead of you. Typically, you may be asked to
send $5 each to four or five people.
- You alter the list of previous
participants, removing the one at the top of the
list, moving all the other names up one
position, and adding your own name to the bottom
of the list.
- You send out as many copies of this
altered letter as you can, to as many people as
you can reach.
- As new people join the scheme below you,
in exponentially-growing numbers, each one will
send you $5, or whatever the requested amount
was. Because the number of new participants is
growing at a fantastic, exponential rate, you
should collect this payment from a ridiculously
large number of people.
There are many variations on this basic scheme.
There are various ploys used to create an illusion
of legality; some of these involve a set of
“reports” which you buy from those above you, and
sell to those below you. Others instruct you to
create a mailing list out of the names of people
below you. Some use language which describes the
money exchanged as a “gift” or a “loan”. There are
even some software-based pyramid schemes, centered
around a program which is distributed down the
chain; the program keeps track of the list of people
from which you must buy the “codes” to “unlock” the
program, enabling you to create a version of the
program which lists you as one of the sources from
which others must buy these codes to unlock it.
There are also variations which involve selling
“self-replicating” web pages.
In every case, the basic concept is the
same — you pay a relatively small amount of money to
a few people above you, with the expectation that
later, very large numbers of people will be making
similar payments to you.
A deliberate effort is made, in many cases, to
confuse prospective victims with regard to the
distinction between a legitimate “multi-level
marketing” (MLM) scheme, and an illegitimate pyramid
scheme. I'm no fan of MLM; I regard even
“legitimate” MLM schemes as ethically questionable
at best. But there is a vital distinction.
The important distinction is this: With a
legitimate MLM, you have a real product, that is of
significant value in and of itself. Most of your
profit comes from the sale of this product to people
who will use this product according to its own value
and usefulness, and not just try to sell it to
someone below them. Though MLM encourages you to
build a “downline”, so that you can make some profit
by taking a cut of the sales made by those below
you, you do not need to recruit even a single person
below you in the pyramid in order to profit; you can
profit by selling the product itself, even to people
who have no interest in joining the MLM.
In those pyramid schemes which
try to pass themselves off as MLM, your “product” is
something that has very little inherent value, if
any at all, beyond the requirement that one must buy
it from you in order to join your “downline”. The
“product” may consist of worthless reports, or even
electronic codes to unlock a software-based pyramid
scheme. Nobody would buy these “products”, except
as part of joining the pyramid scheme itself. The
only opportunity for profit is in getting people to
join the pyramid in levels below you. As the U.S.
Postal Service warns, on the subject, “Do not be
fooled if the chain letter is used to sell
inexpensive reports on credit, mail order sales,
mailing lists, or other topics. The primary purpose
is to take your money, not to sell information.
“Selling” a product does not ensure legality.”

A Few Definitions
- Chain Letter: Strictly speaking, a chain
letter is merely a letter, an email message, or
some other communication, which asks the
recipient to send copies of it to several other
people. In and of itself, chain letters are not
illegal, but they are very annoying, and very
wasteful of whatever medium is used to carry
them. When a chain letter asks the recipient to
send money to people through whom the letter
passed before, with the promise that the
recipient will receive money from those that the
letter reaches after he sends it, then it has
become a form of a pyramid scheme. Though not
all chain letters are pyramid schemes, and not
all pyramid schemes are chain letters, the term
“chain letter” is often used to mean a pyramid
scheme. For example, the U.S. Postal Service's
official statement on "Chain Letters" is really
about pyramid schemes. Even if they're not
illegal, chain letters are, in any form, very
annoying to most people, and prohibited by most
responsible ISPs.
- Pyramid Scheme: A scheme in which a
hierarchy is created by people joining under
others who joined previously, and in which those
who join make payments to those above them in
the hierarchy, with the expectation of being
able to collect payments from those who join
below. Pyramid schemes are prohibited by the
laws of the United States of America, by the
laws of each of the fifty individual states, and
by the laws of most other nations. Pyramid
schemes are variously defined under these laws
either as a form of gambling, or (more
accurately, in my opinion) as outright fraud .
Most of my explanations on this page are about
pyramid schemes, but have some application to
Ponzi schemes as well.
- Administered Pyramid Scheme: A
variation of a pyramid scheme in which some
central person or company is involved in
“administering” the scheme, in making sure
that all participants have made the
appropriate payments to those above them, or
even in collecting these payments and
redistributing them to the “upline”. The
“Administrator” of such a scheme usually
takes some fee for himself. In this
variation, the “administrator” is assured of
some profit, no matter how badly the scheme
may work for other participants, because he
gets to collect his own fee from every other
participant. These schemes usually collapse
much more quickly than regular pyramid
schemes, because of their dependence on the
administrator, who is easily identified and
turned in to proper law-enforcement
authorities.
- Gifting Club: This term, as far as I've
ever seen it used, is just another term for
a pyramid scheme. The money you pay to join
a “Gifting Club” is called a “gift”, and the
claim is often made that any money you
receive from such a scheme is not taxable,
because the IRS does not tax gifts up to
$10,000. This is a dangerous falsehood,
because the IRS has always considered a
gift, by definition, to be something given
with no expectation of receiving anything in
return. While the majority of gifting club
participants really do get nothing in
return, their “gifts” are certainly not
given without the expectation of
considerable return, so these payments
cannot be considered gifts for income tax
purposes. In addition to the legal problems
you could face just from participating in a
pyramid scheme, failing to report as income
any returns you might get from such a scheme
could subject you to tax evasion charges as
well.
- Ponzi Scheme: Named after Charles Ponzi,
who ran such a scheme in 1919-1920. A Ponzi
scheme is an investment scheme in which returns
are paid to earlier investors, entirely out of
money paid into the scheme by newer investors.
Ponzi schemes are similar to pyramid schemes,
but differ in that Ponzi schemes are operated by
a central company or person, who may or may not
be making other false claims about how the money
is being invested, and where the returns are
coming from. Ponzi schemes don't necessarily
involve a hierarchal structure, as in a pyramid
scheme; there is merely one person or company
that is collecting money from new participants
and using this money to pay off promised returns
to earlier participants. An interesting site
about Charles Ponzi and his scheme can be found
here.
- Straight–Line Matrix: This is a new form of
fraud that I am seeing in recent months. I have
also seen these referred to as “Elevator
Schemes”. In these schemes, you are offered the
opportunity to buy some valuable product for a
small percentage of its usual cost, usually
around 10%. These schemes are based on a list
of participants, in the order that they joined
the scheme. Each person pays the specified
price when they join the scheme, and when so
many people (usually ten) have joined the
scheme, the first person gets the product being
offered (it having been paid for out of the fees
paid by all ten who have joined so far). When
ten (or whatever the number might be more people
join, then the second person gets the product.
When ten more join after than, then the third
person gets the product; and so on.
Though this scheme isn't based on the same sort
of exponentially-growing structure as a pyramid
scheme, most of the same principles apply here
as to a true pyramid scheme. As with a true
pyramid scheme, a straight–line matrix scheme
pays off only for a small percentage of those
who have joined, producing a number of people
who have paid into the scheme and not yet
received any payoff that grows at a much faster
rate than the rate at which the number of people
who have received the promised payoff grows. As
with a true pyramid scheme, a straight–line
matrix will pay off quickly for those who get in
the earliest, and will pay off increasingly
slowly for those who join later, with the vast
majority of of participants never receiving the
promised benefit.
A Pyramid Scheme Dissected
Let's look at a hypothetical pyramid scheme, with
respect to how it is claimed to work. Suppose the
list included in this scheme contains six names.
You are to send a dollar to each person listed,
remove the top name, move all the other names up one
position, and send it on to more people. Let us
assume, that you get ten people to join, and each of
them gets ten people, and so on.
As the pyramid grows below you, here's what
supposedly happens:
- The first level below you has ten people.
They each send you a dollar, so you collect $10.
- The next level has a hundred people. (Each
of your first ten gets ten more.) You collect
$100.
- The next level has a thousand people. You
collect $1,000.
- The next level has 10,000 people, so you
collect $10,000.
- The next level has 100,000 people, so you
collect $100,000.
- The next level has 1,000,000 people, so you
collect $1,000,000.
- At this point, your name drops off the list,
and you collect no more.
So, for your initial investment of $6, (one dollar
to each of the six people above you), you collect a
total of $1,111,110. There are, of course, many
variations on this concept.
It's very easy to understand how this kind of
scheme should work. It all seems so simple and so
obvious.
It is, unfortunately, somewhat more difficult
to understand why this kind of scheme does not work,
and why it is unethical and dishonest, and, in most
cases, very much illegal.
The truth is, this scheme does not work, except
for those who get in at the first few levels. The
vast majority of participants in such a scheme will
only lose their original investment, and make no
profit at all. In a moment, I'll get into why this
is so; but because it is so, every instance where a
person is induced to join such a scheme, based on
the promise that he will make a profit by
participating, a fraud has been committed.
Nearly every nation, and every government, has
laws against fraud. Most have specific laws against
pyramid schemes, Ponzi schemes, and similar
operations.
Even if the particular variation in which you
might participate happens to avoid running afoul of
the laws which are relevant in your situation, I ask
you to consider that by participating in such a
scheme, you would be engaging in something that is
dishonest and unethical, and which is very unlikely
to make you any profit.
In order to understand why pyramid schemes do
not work, there are two points which you must
understand.
- The pyramid must fail
because there is a finite and limited number of
potential participants.
- No new wealth is
created, the only wealth gained by any
participant is wealth lost by other
participants.
Now, let's see if I can explain these points.
The pyramid must fail because there is a finite
and limited number of potential participants.
Pyramid schemes depend on bringing in an
exponentially-growing number of new participants.
I've used the term “exponentially” several times
already, perhaps I should explain it. Where n
represents some number, if you start with one
person, who gets n people to join, and each of those
people gets n more people to join, and so on, you
have the total number of people growing by powers of
n. Even where n is a fairly small number, the
total number of people involved grows to amazingly
huge numbers without very many steps being required
to reach these huge numbers. Indeed, it is these
huge numbers, which you are led to believe represent
the number of people who will each be sending you $5
or whatever, that makes pyramid schemes attractive.
But these huge numbers create a problem. There
are somewhere between five and six billion people in
the world. Let's suppose that every one of these
people could be induced to join a particular pyramid
scheme. For how many levels could this scheme run
before it failed, for lack of new participants?
You'll be amazed when you see how quickly the number
of required new participants grows to exceed the
population.
In the example above, I assumed that each
person who joined would bring in ten new people.
How many levels can be supported by a population of
five to six billion? Let's count them...
Level |
People in
Level |
1 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
3 |
100 |
4 |
1,000 |
5 |
10,000 |
6 |
100,000 |
7 |
1,000,000 |
8 |
10,000,000 |
9 |
100,000,000 |
10 |
1,000,000,000 |
That's ten levels, counting the one
person at the top who started it. By the time these
ten levels are filled, there will be a total of
1,111,111,111 participants. The eleventh level
would require 10,000,000,000, or ten billion new
participants to fill in. But there aren't that many
people in the world. There's only between five and
six billion, minus the somewhat over a billion
who've already joined. Most of the billion people
in the tenth level will not be able to get any new
participants below them, and will therefore make no
money at all. And of course, none of those who join
in the eleventh level will get any new participants
below them. There aren't enough people to fill in
the eleventh level, much less to start a twelfth
level below that.
At this point, the pyramid collapses. And when
it does, a solid majority of those who had joined
will not have made any return at all. They will
have paid their money to get in, but the promise
that they will profit as people join below them will
never be fulfilled.
Of course, the number of levels that can be
filled depends on how many new participants, on
average, are brought in by each previous
participant. But even if each participant brings in
only two new participants, the pyramid will collapse
in about 32 or 33 levels (still assuming, of course,
that you can get all five or six billion people in
the world to join) with most participants having
lost money.
No new wealth is created, the only wealth gained
by any participant is wealth lost by other
participants.
You need to understand that all legitimate
business activities, in some way, create wealth, or
contribute to the creation of wealth. When you
create a product, that is worth more than what it
cost to produce, you've created wealth. When you
perform a service, which is worth more than it cost
to provide, you've created wealth.
If you spend a dollar for a lemon, some sugar,
and some water; and then use this to make sufficient
lemonade that you can sell twenty servings for ten
cents each, then you've created wealth. You've
taken ingredients worth a dollar, and used them to
create a product worth two dollars. You've created
a dollar's worth of new wealth.
Pyramid schemes produce no goods of any
significance, and they provide no service. They
create no wealth. All they do is move existing
wealth. Every dollar that one person gains through
such a scheme is a dollar that someone else has
lost.
Do not be fooled if the scheme includes some
form of “reports” or lists or other pieces of
“information” that you are supposedly buying from
those above you, and selling to those below you. In
nearly every case, these intangible products have no
value imputed to them, other than that which can
allegedly be gained by copying and reselling them.
The purpose of these reports is not to provide
valuable information, but to provide a pretext by
which one participant in a pyramid scheme collects
money from other participants.
Here's another way of looking at it. Suppose
there was a scheme where everyone who joins
contributes a dollar, which is then put into a box.
No money is put into that box except the dollar from
each person who joins the scheme. Is there any way
to redistribute the money that is collected into
this box so that everyone who contributed money into
it gets more back than what he put in? Let's
suppose that a hundred people have joined this
scheme. This means that there is $100 in the box,
and 100 people expecting some kind of payout. If
the money in the box is equally distributed among
all the participants, then each will get back only
$1, the exact amount that he paid to join. You
could give $10 to each of 10 people, but that would
leave 90 people who get back nothing, and who have
only lost the dollar that each had paid to join.
You could give the whole $100 to one person, but
that would leave 99 people who get nothing back.
There is simply no way for everyone to get back more
than they paid in. In order for anyone to get back
more, someone else has to get back less. Anyone who
gains in such a scheme does so at the expense of
others who have lost.
The same holds true of all pyramid schemes, Ponzi
schemes, straight–line matrix schemes, and anything
else that is in any way similar. It is
mathematically impossible for more to be taken out
of any such scheme than what is put into it.
Conclusion
As the old saying goes, “If it sounds to good to
be true, it probably is.” Anyone who tells you you
can make huge amounts of money, with very little
investment, and very little work, is almost
certainly not telling you the truth. Participating
in any pyramid scheme, ponzi scheme, or any other
scheme which promises that you will get rich
quickly, with little effort is foolish at best. You
will most likely only lose money to such a scheme,
and you may even find yourself subject to legal
prosecution for fraud. True wealth is only gained
through honest work, and honest investment, in
enterprises which produce goods and services of
value to all. There are no shortcuts, and anyone
who tells you otherwise is almost certainly out to
cheat you.
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